Team Steph

Stephanie or not*, if you’re cheering for someone – anyone – other than Andrea to win The Glass House, Andrea needs to go home this week. Whether you like Gene, Kevin, Erica, or any of the other audience favorites… your player will not win if Andrea returns from limbo after tonight’s vote. Even if you like Andrea in general – if you like someone else MORE, you’ll need to vote for Andrea to go home, if you want your favorite to win.

First of all, Andrea just won the popular vote to have her family visit her at the show. Contrary to what you may guess from the comments on the ABC site, Twitter, or various message boards – I don’t think that this was a close call, either. While other players are more popular than Andrea on appearance – more positive comments, more tweets of support, etc – Andrea has more voting support.

While number of comments are a good measure of where any contestant is sitting with the random viewing audience, number of Twitter followers don’t matter … and I think that’s where a lot of people are getting confused. I’ve seen so many comments about so-and-so having more followers than whoever… it doesn’t matter. Not only can followers be purchased en masse (and it looks like each player has a lot of potentially purchased followers)… but “follow” does not equal “vote”. Remember, Ashley had the most followers by a long shot, and was bottom two three times – before entering limbo, and losing the vote to return.

In addition to winning this recent popular vote – which is the most telling information that has been given about where she is sitting in the standings – Andrea has never been in the bottom two. Her popularity in the vote isn’t new, and it’s not situational for this one vote. It’s a long standing thing, and almost a guarantee that she will win if she comes back from limbo.

While some of the competitors have “Teams” campaigning for them on the outside – such as us, with “Team Stephanie” (Erica, Joy, Jeffrey, and Kevin also have such teams), Andrea has an advantage that none of the rest of the competitors do – she has an entire religion voting for her.

For instance, although Andrea was “born and raised” in Southern California, a major newspaper in Salt Lake City, Utah covered her appearance on The Glass House, asking “’Can the Mormon contestant win in the ‘Glass House’?” (Deseret News). When I Google that article title – within quotation marks – it returns 4,680 results. It’s been picked up by many LDS news feeds, newsletters, etc – that 4,680 is only a tiny fraction of the number of people this has reached.

Given the extremely dismal ratings that this show has been getting… it doesn’t look good for ANYONE else in the house right now.

None of us have any idea of the actual voting numbers, either for Andrea or anyone else – but given all of the other information that we do know, all signs point to her winning by a landslide. Andrea seems to be unstoppable.

BUT, here’s the thing. If you ignore everything that anyone – including your favorite non-Andrea contestant may say about bringing her back – we could possibly get her out. Team Andrea may have an edge up on any one competitor (and their “team”/fans/voters)… but there’s a chance – however slight – that the combined total of the fans following everyone ELSE in the house could potentially be enough to get her out.

If you’re, say, a Kevin fan, you may be wondering why you’d want her out, against Kevin’s stated wishes. Well, here’s the thing. Right now, the remaining contestants are Jeff, Joy, Erica, Stephanie, Gene, Kevin, and Andrea. Andrea and Joy are in limbo right now, and one will be gone by tomorrow night.

If Andrea comes back, she has immunity from being voted into limbo by the audience next week. Given that the audience voted limbo member is always the one to go home… It doesn’t even matter who it is, at that point – she’s safe. Anyway, next week there will be one less person whose team and fans can vote against her, *IF* she even ends up in limbo. Given the insane number of friends and followers she has, we all know how this will turn out.

With each week that passes at this point, there less of a chance that the combined total of the other contestants’ fans can *MAYBE* equal Andrea’s number of voters… IF she even ends up in limbo.

Here’s the thing – with so many people voting for Andrea, there’s a good chance that the combined total – right now – of other contestant’s fans still aren’t enough, and she’ll win anyway. Right now is the absolute best chance that anyone other than Andrea has, though.

So… even if you’re a fan of Kevin, and want to keep his “alliance” together – just know that the alliances are so blown apart, and his is so outnumbered right now, that it doesn’t matter. You have the numbers to get him to the final. As long as Andrea is in the house, you do NOT have the numbers for him to win. He may not like Joy – and you may agree – but voting Joy out would be a fatal error to his bid to win the show.

Here at Team Steph, we’re a bunch of math nerds, problem solvers, statisticians… and we’re pretty much resolved that if Andrea goes home today, Kevin wins the whole show. Based on how much trouble Andrea’s lies about Stephanie have hurt her chances on the show – among other things – we’d really prefer to see Kevin win, over Andrea (of the two).

Ready? Voting is now open, closes tomorrow afternoon! Click here to vote on the ABC page.

* Of course, we hope you’re voting for Stephanie!